Missing Out on the Top Seed May be a Blessing in Disguise

With the Lakers losing to the Warriors Wednesday night, the Spurs clinched the top seed in the Western Conference.

“We knew it wasn’t the end of the world to finish second,” said Manu Ginobili. “At the same time, after the kind of season we had, we wanted it.”

The Lakers are essentially a lock for the second seed with four games left in the season. Currently, they are 4.5 games behind the Spurs and two games ahead of the Mavs. Unless the Lakers lose all their remaining games and Dallas wins of theirs, the playoff race is beginning to clear up.

But not all is lost, the Lakers’ remaining games against San Antonio, Portland, OKC and Sacramento (possibly for the last time) are still vital as they vie for home court advantage in the finals.

Prior to the All-Star break the Spurs looked invincible at 40-8 and the Lakers were a modest 34-15.

Then Kobe discovered the fountain of youth, dropping 37 points in the All-Star game. Ron got his head on straight and the rest of the Lakers used the break to get back on track mentally . Since then the Lakers have looked unstoppable.

Tim Duncan went down with a freak ankle injury, Ginobili injured his quad, as a result the Spurs lost six straight games for the first time in the Duncan era.

Just like that the Lakers were within an arms reach of first place.

In fact, if the Lakers had won their game last Sunday against the Melo-less Nuggets, they would have only been a game back of the top spot. With one more game against the Spurs on the April 12th, they would have been able to dictate their own destiny.

While we can sit around and play the “what if” game all day, we should find a better use of our time and evaluate the positives of finishing in second. Sure, some members of Lakers Nation are pressing  the panic button again after the loss to Golden State  following two tough losses to Utah and Denver. But if I were to tell you the Lakers would go 17-4 to close out the season, those same fans pressing the panic button would be more than satisfied.

Granted there are no upsets, the Lakers road to the finals would look like this if the the playoffs started today:

Portland, Dallas and San Antonio.

Compare that to if the Lakers finished first:

Memphis, Oklahoma City and San Antonio.

As back to back champs , the opening round should be a formality: Portland always plays tough at home but eventually the Lakers’ size and experience would win out in a seven game series. And Memphis? They haven’t won a playoff game, never mind a series, since emigrating from Vancouver to Memphis.

The second round is where things get interesting. By finishing second, the Lakers dodged a landmine: the upstart Thunder, who should squeak by the surging Nuggets.

I prefer Dallas over Oklahoma City for a myriad of reasons.

Next: Facing Dallas Instead of Oklahoma City


Some way, some how, Kobe and the Lakers have never faced off against Dirk and the Mavs since the two superstars were acquired. It’s a shame these two titans have never clashed, akin to  how John Cena and the Rock won’t be wrestling until next year’s Wrestlemania.

Want to know why they’ve never met?

The Mavericks are perennial chokers. They are bound to have a remarkable regular season and slip up in the playoffs.

Exhibit A: After holding a 2-0 lead over the Heat in the 2006 finals, they go on to lose the next four games and the championship.

Exhibit B: 2007, the year Disco Dirk won his one and only MVP award was also the year the Mavs were shocked in the first round by the upstart Warriors. The Warriors were the eighth seed that year.

“At some point you got to get over it,” Nowitzki said of the loss to the Warriors. “You can’t hold grudges forever. It is what it is. They got hot that year and then they beat us in the playoffs. You move on from there.”

Exhibit C: In last year’s playoffs, the Mavs were ousted in the first round yet again. This time by the seventh seeded Spurs.

You see it doesn’t matter where the Mavs finish in the standings, as Matt Barnes poignantly tweeted earlier in the week “me & the Golden State homies laid out the blueprint on how to beat Dallas. ‘PUNK ‘EM’ Ain’t changed.”

To be fair, the Mavs have never had a defensive minded center like they do now in Tyson Chandler. And with their core players (Kidd, Dirk, Terry) all near the end of their primes, I bet they’ll be eager to exorcise the demons of early exits past.

That doesn’t take away from the fact that I’d prefer to see Dallas in the second round as opposed to the Thunder.

Last year, the Thunder came within a Pau Gasol tip-in of sending the opening round series with the Lakers to a Game 7.

This year they’ve added Kendrick Perkins, the man who has given the Lakers’ big men nightmares in the Finals two out of the last three years. Perkins, alongside Ibaka may be the only front court in the NBA that can match up with Andrew Bynum and Gasol.

Lest we forget their trump card in Russell Westbrook, who epitomizes what the Lakers have trouble defending: quickness in the backcourt. Lakers Nation saw first-hand what Ellis and Curry did to the Lakers last night, now imagine having to contain a much improved Westbrook.  (Russell is averaging three points less than Derrick Rose with nearly identical assist and rebound numbers.)

That’s why I’m relieved the Lakers finished in second. They avoid the biggest threats to a three-peat until the Western Conference Finals.

As the saying goes, every dark cloud has a silver lining.

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