LeBron James is such a star on the court that fans tune in to the games to watch him play. So, when the Lakers officially announced that this basketball legend would be away at the start of the new season, fans and punters alike could not hide their shock. Moreover, online sportsbooks quickly adjusted the Lakers’ odds in response to this update. And with the regular season scheduled to start in less than a week, the betting odds are still changing. We examine why James’ injury is crucial to the team’s performance and explain the betting landscape in this new light.
LeBron’s Stardom
The NBA has many stars, but few come close to LeBron James, considered one of the most valuable players in the league, and the Lakers’ lineup. But why? As the point forward, he uses his position to create offense for himself and others, and is known for his high-volume scoring abilities, especially in high-leverage games. In fact, when he steps off the court, the team’s offensive rating is known to drop. But he does not just excel in making a name for himself. With over two decades in the game, he knows how to set the proper standards for the younger players, guide his teammates on the right strategy, and help them manage their emotions even during the game.
Understanding His Injury
LeBron James has been such a mainstay in the NBA that fans have gotten used to seeing him show up season in and out, regardless of what’s happening in his professional and personal life. So, what could take him out after 23 years of consistency and never missing the start of a season? Sciatica! LeBron is currently dealing with sciatica, which affects the sciatic nerve, which runs from the lower back to the back of the legs, resulting in limited mobility and endurance. Per the team’s announcement on 9th October, James will be out for three to four weeks, after which he will re-evaluate to determine if he can resume playing. The team is in no hurry to rush this process, and Coach JJ Redick has been cited, stating that they are giving James time to heal per his timeline. However, given that the 2025-2026 NBA regular season starts on 21st October, many fans cannot help but question where this leaves the team.
The On-Court Dynamics
With LeBron out for a while, the Lakers are sure to undergo some changes, with the following playing out on the court:
- The offensive creation burden. In the past, LeBron has often taken charge of this role. But now, this role will fall on Dončić, who must open shooters, draw second defenders, and drive, just as LeBron would in past games. Otherwise, other teams could take advantage of these gaps. On the flip side, if Dončić does cover all these aspects, he will likely suffer fatigue early on in the season, which is another concern for the team.
- The lineup changes. A committee, including players like Hachimura, will help Dončić. The chosen players will have their work cut out to match the high-level playmaking and defensive versatility needed to fit into this role.
As one would expect, the Lakers’ vulnerability is likely to increase. Luckily, the team has had time to prepare for these new dynamics.
How Are the Odds Changing?
Based on historical data, the Lakers’ winning and performance percentages fall when LeBron James is away. So, with him being absent at the start of the season, the team’s projected win total has already dropped, as have their odds of winning the NBA Championship and Western Conference. However, there have been positive changes, such as the props for players like Dončić and Hachimura, who will now be stepping into their expanded roles. But, of course, it’s still too early to tell what will happen, and these odds will likely change once the Lakers play their first game.
